Exponential, Distilled

Exponential, Distilled

Thematic Research

Long OSATs

AI Advanced Packaging Up +98% YoY...

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Exponential, Distilled and Max
Jan 28, 2026
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AI chips aren’t being limited by silicon wafers anymore.

The real constraint is packaging — the specialized process required to connect high-performance chips with memory.

TSMC’s CoWoS capacity is essentially sold out through 2027.

Google has already cut TPU production by 25%, and Intel is outsourcing EMIB packaging for the first time.

Packaging is becoming the quiet bottleneck of the 2026 semiconductor cycle. We break down the tickers best positioned.

Source: TradingView

Key Report Insights:

  1. Packaging Bottleneck: AI compute is now capped by CoWoS, not wafers

  2. CoWoS Sold Out: TSMC interposer capacity is pre-booked through 2027

  3. Google Cutback: TPU production trimmed 25% from packaging constraints

  4. Intel Outsources EMIB: First-ever shift to AMKR signals OSAT pull-through

  5. Best Expression: Long OSAT scale (ASE/AMKR) + tools (BESI/ACMR)

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Analyst/Writer at Crypto, Distilled. Delivering crypto market insights through a quantitative lens.
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