As the world stalls, India surges—Nifty +115%, racing past the SPX (+95%) over the past 5 years.
This isn’t noise—it’s structural: young demographics, surging inflows, and GDP set to climb +6.2% in 2025.
We break down 10 catalysts—and how ~$24B in flows and a $1B Jane Street profit confirm India’s breakout.
Source: IndianExpress / Bloomberg
Note: The author(s) owns BTC and options positions in ETH (disclaimer).
India’s Structural Tailwinds:
Nifty 50 Strength: +115% over five years—beating the SPX and HSI, just behind the QQQ.
Widening Growth Gap: GDP forecast at +6.2% in 2025 vs. China (+4.0%), U.S. (+1.8%), and global average (+2.8%).
Retail Investor Boom: Depository accounts up 5x to 190M—deepening liquidity and fueling domestic demand.
Institutional Stampede: Giants like Citadel and Jane Street are moving in—boosting liquidity and signaling conviction.
Energy Tailwind: Oil prices down ~14% YTD—improving terms of trade and reinforcing India’s macro stability.
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