Exponential, Distilled

Exponential, Distilled

Portfolio Updates

Exponential Edge - #44

Palladium up +104% YTD...

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Michael Anwar's avatar
Exponential, Distilled and Michael Anwar
Dec 28, 2025
∙ Paid

Gold and silver are at ATHs, while palladium continues to lag—still below 2020 levels despite a +100% YTD breakout.

In this report, we explore the ongoing palladium trade, a potential value play in GLP-1s, and an underrated Mag7 company heading into 2026.

Key Report Insights:

  1. Risk-On Fully Priced: Sentiment stretched, cash at cycle lows → reflexive upside

  2. Palladium Mispricing: +104% YTD yet still −13% since 2020 → catch-up setup

  3. Industrial Confirmation: Copper uptrend validates cyclical metals rotation

  4. TSLA Leadership: One of three Mag7 names beating SPX into year-end

  5. AV Data Edge: TSLA 6.8B FSD miles vs Waymo 100M → widening moat

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Michael Anwar's avatar
A guest post by
Michael Anwar
Analyst at Exponential, Distilled. On a mission to explore the forefront of blockchain technology and translate complex innovations into educative insights.
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